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Bundesliga 19:30 Union Berlin - Kieler SV Holstein 1. Premier - Liague 22:00 Akhmat - Dinamo M 29 July 2. Bundesliga 16:30 SV Darmstadt 98 - Greuther Furth 2.
Ekstraklasa 21:30 Wisla Krakow - Termalica KS 19 July UEFA Champions League 20:15 Rosenborg - Dundalk 17 July Sweden. Allsvenskan 20:00 Elfsborg - Hammarby 1.
Ekstraklasa 21:30 Pogon - Wisla Krakow 12 July UEFA Champions League 21:45 Zilina - Copenhagen 1. Eliteserien 20:00 Sarpsborg - Lillestrem 1. Eliteserien 19:00 Viking - Sogndal 07 July Ireland First Division 21:45 Athlon - Shelbourne 06 July UEFA Europa League 21:30 Jagiellonia - Dinamo Batumi 2. Allsvenskan 20:00 Djurgardens - Kalmar 1.
We obtain predictive densities from stochastic volatility (SV) and GARCH models, which we then tilt using the second moment of the risk-neutral distribution implied by options prices while imposing a non-negativity constraint on the equity premium.
By combining the backward-looking information contained in the GARCH and SV models with the forward-looking information from options prices, our procedure improves the performance of predictive densities. Keywords: entropic tilting, density forecasts, variance risk premium, equity premium, options Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation Waltham, MA 02454-9110United States781.
To decline or learn more, visit our Cookies page. This page was processed by apollo4 in 0. Metaxoglou, Konstantinos and Pettenuzzo, Davide and Smith, Aaron, Option-Implied Equity Premium Predictions via Entropic Tilting (September 9, 2017). To be ranked, a paper must be a publicly available scholarly full-text paper on SSRN. Privately available papers are not considered in these rankings.
After making payment you will receive the matches immediately to your phone through SMS with the name CHEERPLEX. Benfica - Basel 2-1 Over 2. Manchester United - CSKA Moskva 2-0 1 3.
Olympiakos Piraeus - Juventus 0-1 2 5. Liverpool - Spartak Moskva 3-1 1 2. Shakhtar Donetsk - Manchester City 1-3 2 3.
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 2-1 1 4.Having said that, I think this will be another draw for them. That will please Neil Warnock though as he'll be more than happy to keep going about his business under the radar. Reading have won their last two going into this game on Monday night and look to finally be hitting some form under Jaap Stam. This is a very tough game for them, though, and I'm backing Cardiff here. Millwall got a great result against Sheffield United to end their winless run, but their away form has been poor this season.
Bit of a home banker for me. He's been appointed very quickly following the dismissal of Leonid Slutsky and it will be interesting to see how he gets on. Brentford reacted brilliantly to beat Fulham last week after that collapse at QPR the week before. It shows the mental strength of Dean Smith's side as they continue to climb the table. I reckon the spoils will be shared at the KCOM.
A poor run of results has seen them drop off the play-off pace and they've suffered bad defeats lately to key rivals Leeds, Derby and Bristol City.
Ipswich are above them in the table and you almost feel like Boro can't afford anything but three points here. But I think Mick McCarthy's side will be good for a point. They've only picked up a point from their last five games and they could get dragged right into the relegation battle if they don't improve soon. Leeds, meanwhile, would have been disappointed not to hold on and beat Aston Villa last week, but they look to have really turned a corner now and I imagine they'll be back up in or really challenging for a top-six spot soon.
The home game against Reading was a great opportunity to build some momentum and end their disastrous run at the Stadium of Light, but it all went wrong for them again and now they've got their toughest trip of the season. Wolves proved against Birmingham on Monday night that they could win ugly, and that should bode well for them through the cold months of the season.
This should be a comfortable home win. Portsmouth are six points behind Charlton heading into the weekend, with the Addicks currently occupying the final play-off place, and will be desperate to win to start closing that gap. Charlton's form has dipped a little of late, with just one victory in their last four, and will hope to get back to winning ways here to get back towards the automatic promotion spots.
And I think they'll do just that. Only goal difference separates these two sides at the top, albeit a lot of goals as Luton have scored 48 and Notts County 35. Both sides will want to win to lay down a marker and both managers will send their sides out to win the game.
I'm backing goals here, and a narrow home victory. Enter your selections for free here. Theme: ColorMag by ThemeGrill. At Coral, we keep an eye on pretty much all global sporting events including football, horse racing, tennis and golf. Sit back, relax and browse through information, analysis, tips and predictions from the ultimate experts (or tipsters as we like to call them).
Plus, the best Irish horse racing betting tips. Place your bets now. Online Betting, Online Casino, and Online Gaming Coral. For customers accessing Coral. Read match previews, team news, betting tips and predictions including the latest betting stats. Our matched betting tips provide the latest team news with details of injuries and suspensions plus predictions on how the competitors will line up. No betting preview is complete without odds and our matched betting tips include the best odds to help you find the best value for money.
Matched betting tips are thoroughly researched to provide the most important stats, helping you make informed betting predictions.However, Spearman R and Kendall tau are usually not identical in magnitude because their underlying logic, as well as their computational formulas are very different. Siegel and Castellan (1988) express the relationship of the two measures in terms of the inequality:More importantly, Kendall tau and Spearman R imply different interpretations: While Spearman R can be thought of as the regular Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient as computed from ranks, Kendall tau rather represents a probability.
Specifically, it is the difference between the probability that the observed data are in the same order for the two variables versus the probability that the observed data are in different orders for the two variables. Kendall (1948, 1975), Everitt (1977), and Siegel and Castellan (1988) discuss Kendall tau in greater detail. Two different variants of tau are computed, usually called taub and tauc.
These measures differ only with regard as to how tied ranks are handled. In most cases these values will be fairly similar, and when discrepancies occur, it is probably always safest to interpret the lowest value.
The Gamma statistic is preferable to Spearman R or Kendall tau when the data contain many tied observations. Thus, Gamma is basically equivalent to Kendall tau, except that ties are explicitly taken into account. Detailed discussions of the Gamma statistic can be found in Goodman and Kruskal (1954, 1959, 1963, 1972), Siegel (1956), and Siegel and Castellan (1988).
Multiple response variables or multiple dichotomies often arise when summarizing survey data. The nature of such variables or factors in a table is best illustrated with examples. As part of a larger market survey, suppose you asked a sample of consumers to name their three favorite soft drinks.
Also, a wide variety of soft drinks will most likely be named. The next question is how to enter the responses into a data file. Suppose 50 different soft drinks were mentioned among all of the questionnaires. This method of coding the responses would be very tedious and "wasteful. Alternatively, we could set up three variables, and a coding scheme for the 50 soft drinks.
Then we could enter the respective codes (or alpha labels) into the three variables, in the same way that respondents wrote them down in the questionnaire. To produce a table of the number of respondents by soft drink we would now treat Resp. Note that the counts in the first column of the table do not add up to 500, but rather to 842.
For example, referring back to the sample listing of the data file shown above, the first case (Coke, Pepsi, Jolt) "contributes" three times to the frequency table, once to the category Coke, once to the category Pepsi, and once to the category Jolt. The second and third columns in the table above report the percentages relative to the number of responses (second column) as well as respondents (third column).
Thus, the entry 8. Suppose in the above example we were only interested in Coke, Pepsi, and Sprite. As pointed out earlier, one way to code the data in that case would be as follows: COKE PEPSI SPRITE. In other words, one variable was created for each soft drink, then a value of 1 was entered into the respective variable whenever the respective drink was mentioned by the respective respondent. In a sense, we "compact" the three variables Coke, Pepsi, and Sprite into a single variable (Soft Drink) consisting of multiple dichotomies.
All of these types of variables can then be used in crosstabulation tables. For example, we could crosstabulate a multiple dichotomy for Soft Drink (coded as described in the previous paragraph) with a multiple response variable Favorite Fast Foods (with many categories such as Hamburgers, Pizza, etc.
As in the frequency table, the percentages and marginal totals in that table can be computed from the total number of respondents as well as the total number of responses. For example, consider the following hypothetical respondent: Gender Coke Pepsi Sprite Food1 Food2 FEMALE 1 1 FISH PIZZA This female respondent mentioned Coke and Pepsi as her favorite drinks, and Fish and Pizza as her favorite fast foods.
In the complete crosstabulation table she will be counted in the following cells of the table: Food. FEMALE MALE COKE PEPSI SPRITE COKE PEPSI SPRITE X X X X 2 2 This female respondent will "contribute" to (i.
Paired Crosstabulation of Multiple Response Variables.Everything worked incredibly smoothly and we had an absolutely wonderful time, from being met at the airport to our welcome package, enjoying our hotel and staff and lovely room with views, our delicious breakfast, pick up at our hotel for our chosen tours, and our eventual and rather reluctant return to the airport. My friends and I fell in love with Iceland and its friendly people, it's gorgeous natural scenery and delicious food.
I found it so much easier to have our trip all prebooked and not to have to worry about a thing once in Reykavik, other than enjoying it all and being so appreciative to Nordic Visitor for all the work they had put in to make our trip a memorable visit to a very special place.
All highly satisfactory and would not hesitate to recommend Iceland and Nordic Visitor to others. My brother had used Nordic Visitor the previous year to visit Iceland and he was all praises so we decided to do the same and we were not disappointed. Jelena, our travel consultant was exceptionally helpful and informative and genuinely friendly. The only real issue we had was we experienced a burst tyre on a Sunday and she did all she could to make sure we could find a replacement, including having a tyre shop opened only for us.
Would highly recommend Nordic visitor to anyone and everyone. Iceland, is by far one of the most interesting and inspiring places we've been to. It sits on top of a giant volcano so the scenery is very different to anything we've experienced before.
A must visit for anyone who appreciates nature at its purest. I just returned from a 4 day trip to Iceland with my 26 year old daughter to celebrate her birthday. This is my third visit to Iceland and her first. Given our short time i decided to use Nordic Visitor to plan our vacation.
I must say this made it so much easier for us. Everything was extremely well coordinated and organized. Hilmar, our travel consultant was superb. He promptly answered all emails and was extremely knowledgeable. The entire tour package was exactly what we had requested and the accommodations at Guesthouse Sunna met our expectations for location, size of rooms, service and good good. On our Golden Circle Tour we had the most amazing tour guide, Arsthor. I have taken many tours over the years in different countries and he was by far the Best.
I highly recommend this agency. We have just completed the Express Iceland Tour offered by Nordic Visitor, extended by two days. After the apprehension of whether Bardarbunga or the remains of hurricane Christobal would end up cancelling our flights into Iceland, the holiday went like a dream.More growth will come from solutions that combine multiple applications in one system. The demand for inkjet solutions and this high level of product innovationwill continue into 2017 and beyond.
Year in and year out, growth continues at around the five percent mark and it is the objective of all market players to exceed this organic growth rate by exploiting their particular competitive advantage. Thermal transfer technology is now 30 years old and has reached maturity, yet still offers advantages that cannot be equalled: it is economic, reliable and clean. Today, low-cost operators are gaining a solid foothold in our industry but, as is always the case, they will quickly come up against their own limitations.
You just have to offset the anticipated gain from the printed label against the constraints and risks incurred: the outcome is clear and is a simple matter of common sense. At the end of the day, quality and service will come out on top whenever the solution is coherent, appropriate and offers a high level of performance.
All of Armor's most recently established transformation subsidiaries (India, Mexico and South Africa) confirm the value of proximity by producing remarkable penetration rates, and this is only the start. To this can be added moving upmarket into niche applications, where the search for added value is the logical counterbalance to low-cost approaches. We must find new applications which are more demanding, more captive and more profitable, all of which will enhance the market as a whole.
Each year our volumes increase and our carbon footprint reduces as new fields of activity open up: it is this very virtuous circle that motivates us to maximise performance. Although 30 years old now, thermal Ttransfer technology still has a number of cards to play and ARMOR will continue to demonstrate its commitment via investment, innovation and new sites throughout the world.
We anticipate label producers working more closely with their ink partners not only to achieve optimum print quality but also to help increase production efficiencies, reduce waste, minimize press downtime and increase overall profitability. Demonstrating this trend, industry interest in our PureTone inks as part of a total color management concept has been unprecedented, not just in the UK but worldwide. We also see exciting potential for premium laser-markable coding as brand owners, retailers and label printers seek solutions to overcome current challenges faced in the quest for premium printed variable data.
In partnership with DataLase, and as its preferred narrow web ink partner, our new UV flexo coating, PureCode, has been formulated to provide superior marking on the finished label. Another example of product development providing a value-added solution for brand owners and label printers alike. Recently accredited with the world-recognized Investors in People Standard, Pulse Roll Label Products continues to build a skilled and experienced team.
This means that simply by scanning a product or label with a smartphone, people get access to tailored information. This is part of the consumer trend where people increasingly expect to engage with brands whenever they want to and to obtain extra, personalized value from a product. A clear example is QR codes, which are making a comeback, albeit in a different way than when they became popular with consumers five years ago. But technology has moved on and other triggers can be used for scanning by consumers as well: Digimarc Barcodes (imperceptible digital watermarks), good-old EAN barcodes, RFID and NFC tags, and also image recognition.
In 2017 this trend will spread and brands will start to use these triggers as a new marketing channel to their customers. This is further fuelled by digital presses that allow for labels and packaging with individual codes (visible or invisible). But we need to see more and quicker action if the tidal wave of Chinese counterfeit goods flooding onto the market is to be checked, let alone stopped.
More needs to be done to tackle the problem and this might include increased integration of holograms in China as part of brand protection strategies. The Chinese cannot defeat counterfeiting on their own, so collaboration with the likes of the IHMA, and what we offer in terms of helping China to tackle counterfeiting, has to be a welcome priority. International communication, open-mindedness and closer collaboration will be beneficial as we move forward, helping us to tackle and solve this problem together.
We launched four brand new products this year and dramatically increased the pace of our innovation. The results of this have set us on a course to better meet the needs of our customers today, but importantly, tomorrow too.
We have some amazing products and technology in development. We recognize that, while we have market-leading solutions, we have opportunities to increase customer value and help them solve other business issues.Is there any good players back from suspension or injury. Playing against ex-players or manager.
Distances to travel, extent of travelling support. Need to win factor such as promotion, relegation, etc. Is it late season and the team close to the 1st positron, close to the cup positions, or close to relegation (which means they will fight for every point).
Live results, live betting. Live results, online betting. Try our free betting tips. Users ratings, profit margins, bonuses and all other important facts. We are collecting the best bonus offers from sportsbook around the world.
Zusammengefasst und bewertet von Experten. Division IFA Premiership S-League Premier League First Division Second Division Third Division Fortuna liga Prva Liga Primera Division Segunda Division Super Liga Prva Liga Allsvenskan Superttan Super League Challenge League SuperLiga Lig A Premier League First League Primera Division MLS Primera Division Premier League Extraliga Tipsport extraliga 1.
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Featured match Nl1 googletag. Manchester City 43 15 14 1 0 46 10 36 2. Manchester United 35 15 11 2 2 35 9 26 3. Chelsea FC 32 16 10 2 4 28 13 15 4. Liverpool FC 29 15 8 5 2 33 19 14 5. Tottenham 28 16 8 4 4 28 14 14 6.
Arsenal 28 15 9 1 5 29 19 10 7. Burnley FC 28 16 8 4 4 15 12 3 8. Leicester City 23 16 6 5 5 23 22 1 9. Watford FC 22 16 6 4 6 25 27 -2 10. Everton FC 18 15 5 3 7 19 28 -9 11.
Huddersfield 18 16 5 3 8 11 26 -15 12.
Southampton 17 15 4 5 6 15 18 -3 13. Brighton 17 16 4 5 7 14 21 -7 14. Bournemouth 16 16 4 4 8 15 19 -4 15. Stoke City 16 16 4 4 8 19 35 -16 16. Newcastle Utd 15 16 4 3 9 16 25 -9 17. West Bromwich 13 16 2 7 7 12 22 -10 18. West Ham 13 16 3 4 9 14 32 -18 19. Swansea City 12 16 3 3 10 9 18 -9 20. Liga (8)DFB PokalFranceLigue 1 (9)Ligue 2 (3)National (1)ItalySerie A (10)Serie B (7)Lega Pro (25)HollandEredivisie (8)Eerste Divisie (2)Tweede Divisie (9)ScotlandPremier League (5)Championship (5)League one (5)League two (5)Euro qualificationsCopa America Other Leagues Albania (5)Algeria (2)AngolaArgentinaPrimera Division (9)Nacional B (10)Primera B (8)Primera C (10)Armenia (3)AustraliaA-League (4)Npl VictoriaNpl NSWBrisbane PremierNpl WestNpl SouthNpl QueenslandNpl TasmaniaNorthern NswAustriaBundesliga (5)Erste Division (5)Azerbaijan (4)BelarusBelgiumJupiler Pro League (7)2e-Klasse (3)Bolivia (6)Bosnia (5)BrazilSerie ASerie BSerie CBulgariaA Grupa (6)B Grupa (8)CameroonCanadaChile (8)ChinaSuper LeagueLeague oneLeague twoColombiaPrimera A (1)Primera BCosta Rica (2)Croatia1.
HNL (6)Cyprus (7)Czech Rep. Synot liga (8)Druha Liga (8)DenmarkSuper League (6)1.IP Fragmentation and DoS Security
DivisionEcuador (5)Egypt (9)El Salvador (2)EstoniaMeistriliigaEsiliigaFinlandVeikkausliigaYkkonenGeorgiaGhanaGreeceSuper League (8)Football League (9)Guatemala (2)Honduras (1)HungaryNB I (6)NB II (10)IcelandPremier League1.Other desirable properties for estimators include: UMVUE estimators that have the lowest variance for all possible values of the parameter to be estimated (this is usually an easier property to verify than efficiency) and consistent estimators which converges in probability to the true value of such parameter.
This still leaves the question of how to obtain estimators in a given situation and carry the computation, several methods have been proposed: the method of moments, the maximum likelihood method, the least squares method and the more recent method of estimating equations. Interpretation of statistical information can often involve the development of a null hypothesis which is usually (but not necessarily) that no relationship exists among variables or that no change occurred over time.
The null hypothesis, H0, asserts that the defendant is innocent, whereas the alternative hypothesis, H1, asserts that the defendant is guilty. The indictment comes because of suspicion of the guilt. The H0 (status quo) stands in opposition to H1 and is maintained unless H1 is supported by evidence "beyond a reasonable doubt". However, "failure to reject H0" in this case does not imply innocence, but merely that the evidence was insufficient to convict.
So the jury does not necessarily accept H0 but fails to reject H0. While one can not "prove" a null hypothesis, one can test how close it is to being true with a power test, which tests for type II errors. What statisticians call an alternative hypothesis is simply a hypothesis that contradicts the null hypothesis. Working from a null hypothesis, two basic forms of error are recognized:Standard deviation refers to the extent to which individual observations in a sample differ from a central value, such as the sample or population mean, while Standard error refers to an estimate of difference between sample mean and population mean.
A statistical error is the amount by which an observation differs from its expected value, a residual is the amount an observation differs from the value the estimator of the expected value assumes on a given sample (also called prediction).
Mean squared error is used for obtaining efficient estimators, a widely used class of estimators. Root mean square error is simply the square root of mean squared error. Many statistical methods seek to minimize the residual sum of squares, and these are called "methods of least squares" in contrast to Least absolute deviations. The latter gives equal weight to small and big errors, while the former gives more weight to large errors.
Residual sum of squares is also differentiable, which provides a handy property for doing regression. Least squares applied to linear regression is called ordinary least squares method and least squares applied to nonlinear regression is called non-linear least squares. Also in a linear regression model the non deterministic part of the model is called error term, disturbance or more simply noise. Measurement processes that generate statistical data are also subject to error.
Any estimates obtained from the sample only approximate the population value. Confidence intervals allow statisticians to express how closely the sample estimate matches the true value in the whole population.
From the frequentist perspective, such a claim does not even make sense, as the true value is not a random variable. Either the true value is or is not within the given interval. One approach that does yield an interval that can be interpreted as having a given probability of containing the true value is to use a credible interval from Bayesian statistics: this approach depends on a different way of interpreting what is meant by "probability", that is as a Bayesian probability.
In principle confidence intervals can be symmetrical or asymmetrical. An interval can be asymmetrical because it works as lower or upper bound for a parameter (left-sided interval or right sided interval), but it can also be asymmetrical because the two sided interval is built violating symmetry around the estimate.
Sometimes the bounds for a confidence interval are reached asymptotically and these are used to approximate the true bounds. Interpretation often comes down to the level of statistical significance applied to the numbers and often refers to the probability of a value accurately rejecting the null hypothesis (sometimes referred to as the p-value).
A critical region is the set of values of the estimator that leads to refuting the null hypothesis. The probability of type I error is therefore the probability that the estimator belongs to the critical region given that null hypothesis is true (statistical significance) and the probability of type II error is the probability that the estimator doesn't belong to the critical region given that the alternative hypothesis is true.
The statistical power of a test is the probability that it correctly rejects the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false. Referring to statistical significance does not necessarily mean that the overall result is significant in real world terms. For example, in a large study of a drug it may be shown that the drug has a statistically significant but very small beneficial effect, such that the drug is unlikely to help the patient noticeably.
While in principle the acceptable level of statistical significance may be subject to debate, the p-value is the smallest significance level that allows the test to reject the null hypothesis. This is logically equivalent to saying that the p-value is the probability, assuming the null hypothesis is true, of observing a result at least as extreme as the test statistic.